{"id":5023,"date":"2024-11-08T10:48:01","date_gmt":"2024-11-08T02:48:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/?p=5023"},"modified":"2024-11-08T14:47:47","modified_gmt":"2024-11-08T06:47:47","slug":"elon-musk%e8%81%8a%e4%ba%86%e8%81%8a%e6%9c%ba%e5%99%a8%e4%ba%baoptimus%ef%bc%88%e6%93%8e%e5%a4%a9%e6%9f%b1%ef%bc%89%e8%bf%91%e5%86%b5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/?p=5023","title":{"rendered":"Elon Musk\u804a\u4e86\u804a\u673a\u5668\u4ebaOptimus\uff08\u64ce\u5929\u67f1\uff09\u8fd1\u51b5"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u79d1\u6280\u5927\u5496John Carmack(@ID_AA_Carmack<\/a>)\u8c08\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u5bf9\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7684\u770b\u6cd5<\/a>\uff0c\u5bf9\u4eba\u5f62\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff08 humanoid robot\uff09\u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8d28\u7591\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

I am more skeptical than a lot of people in the tech space about the near term utility of humanoid robots.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Long term, driven be AGI, sure, they are going to be an enormous economic engine, but business plans that have them making a dent in the next five years seem unlikely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tesla can play a long game and maybe win, but I don\u2019t like the odds for startups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Always happy to see tech exceed my expectations, of course!
——
\u6211\u6bd4\u79d1\u6280\u9886\u57df\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u66f4\u6000\u7591\u4eba\u5f62\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ece\u957f\u8fdc\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5728 AGI\uff08\u901a\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff09 \u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u65e0\u7591\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f15\u64ce\uff0c\u4f46\u8ba9\u5b83\u4eec\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u5185\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u8ba1\u5212\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7279\u65af\u62c9\u53ef\u4ee5\u6253\u6301\u4e45\u6218\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u80dc\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u770b\u597d\u521d\u521b\u4f01\u4e1a\u83b7\u80dc\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e0d\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u6211\u603b\u662f\u5f88\u9ad8\u5174\u770b\u5230\u6280\u672f\u8d85\u51fa\u6211\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n

——John Carmack<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Elon Musk\u63a5\u8bdd<\/a>\uff0c\u62ab\u9732\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u5173\u4e8e\u673a\u5668\u4ebaOptimus\uff08\u64ce\u5929\u67f1\uff09\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Well, Optimus is already doing some tasks in the factory and the scope of its ability is increasing rapidly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The toughest part by far is improving the design of Optimus for ease of manufacturing and tooling up a complex supply chain, so it can be made in significant numbers.
——
\u597d\u5427\uff0c\u64ce\u5929\u67f1\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u5de5\u5382\u91cc\u6267\u884c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4efb\u52a1\u4e86\uff0c\u5176\u80fd\u529b\u8303\u56f4\u6b63\u5728\u8fc5\u901f\u589e\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u6700\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u6539\u8fdb Optimus \u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u66f4\u6613\u4e8e\u5236\u9020\uff0c\u5e76\u5efa\u7acb\u590d\u6742\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5b9e\u73b0\u5927\u6279\u91cf\u751f\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

——Elon Musk<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\u5728Elon Musk\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u4eba\u5f62\u673a\u5668\u4ebaOptimus\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u5f3a\u3002\u4ed6\u66f4\u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u662fOptimus\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u5316\u5236\u9020\u548c\u91cf\u4ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u540e\u9762\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4ed6\u4e00\u8d2f\u7684\u4f5c\u6cd5\u548c\u98ce\u683c\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u79d1\u6280\u5927\u5496John Carmack(@ID_AA_Carmack)\u8c08\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u5bf9\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u5bf9\u4eba\u5f62\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff08 hum […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[39,87,62,69,61],"class_list":["post-5023","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tech","tag-ai","tag-elonmusk","tag-62","tag-engineering","tag-61"],"rttpg_featured_image_url":null,"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"NullThought","author_link":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/?author=1"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Tech<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"\u79d1\u6280\u5927\u5496John Carmack(@ID_AA_Carmack)\u8c08\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u5bf9\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u5bf9\u4eba\u5f62\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff08 hum…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5023","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5023"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5023\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5031,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5023\/revisions\/5031"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5023"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5023"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5023"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}