{"id":4707,"date":"2024-09-20T13:32:16","date_gmt":"2024-09-20T05:32:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/?p=4707"},"modified":"2024-11-07T11:00:44","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T03:00:44","slug":"%e5%a4%a7%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b%ef%bc%88llms%ef%bc%89%e6%89%ae%e6%bc%94%e5%ae%8f%e8%a7%82%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e5%ae%b6%ef%bc%88macroeconomists%ef%bc%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/?p=4707","title":{"rendered":"\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff08LLMs\uff09\u626e\u6f14\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\uff08Macroeconomists\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u8bba\u6587<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4951445\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Large Language Models as Macroeconomists<\/a><\/strong>\u8be6\u7ec6\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\uff08LLMs\uff09\u6765\u5206\u6790\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u5411\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f2024\u5e74\u4e2d\u671f\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8fc7\u4f7f\u7528GPT4o\u3001Gemini Advanced\u548cClaude 3.5 Sonnet\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684LLMs\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08FOMC\uff09\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5e76\u505a\u51fa\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5411\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u5e76\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u6bd4\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u5b83\u4eec\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005Miquel Noguer i Alonso\uff0c\u4e3aArtificial Intelligence Finance Institute\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. \u5f15\u8a00<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u968f\u7740LLMs\u6280\u672f\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u9010\u6e10\u5e94\u7528\u5230\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6570\u636e\u89e3\u8bfb\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4f7f\u7528GPT4o\u3001Gemini Advanced \u548cClaude 3.5 Sonnet\u4e09\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u6765\u5206\u67902024\u5e745\u6708\u81f37\u6708\u671f\u95f4\u7684FOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u662f\u63a7\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u7a33\u5b9a\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b9e\u65bd\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u5c55\u793a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u5982\u4f55\u5bf9FOMC\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u8fdb\u884c\u89e3\u8bfb\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b83\u4eec\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e0e\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8bba\u6587\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06FOMC\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u8bb0\u5f55\u548c\u516c\u5f00\u58f0\u660e\u8f93\u5165\u5230\u4e09\u4e2aLLMs\u4e2d\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6587\u4ef6\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>2024\u5e746\u6708\u548c7\u6708FOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u8bb0\u5f55<\/strong>\uff1a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6587\u4ef6\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u80cc\u666f\u3002\u7279\u522b\u662f\uff0c2024\u5e746\u6708\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u7ef4\u63015.25%-5.5%\u7684\u5229\u7387\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u5e76\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>FOMC\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/strong>\uff1a2024\u5e746\u6708\u548c7\u6708\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u89e3\u91ca\u4e86\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u51cf\u5c11\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u6301\u6709\u7684\u8bc1\u5238\u548c\u7ee7\u7eed\u6267\u884c\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u64cd\u4f5c\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2024\u5e747\u6708\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/strong>\uff1a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u89e3\u91ca\u4e86\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u5e76\u9610\u8ff0\u4e86\u7ef4\u6301\u73b0\u6709\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>FOMC\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b\u8868<\/strong>\uff1a\u8fd9\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf92024\u5e74\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3001\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u9884\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. \u6a21\u578b\u5206\u6790\u4e0e\u9884\u6d4b<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u5728\u4e8e\u901a\u8fc7\u6bd4\u8f83\u4e09\u4e2aLLMs\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6765\u63ed\u793a\u4e0d\u540c\u6a21\u578b\u5982\u4f55\u770b\u5f85\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u53ca\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u5bf9\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8be6\u7ec6\u5206\u6790\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3.1 GPT4o\u6a21\u578b\u5206\u6790<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u5f53\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5<\/strong>\uff1aGPT4o\u8ba4\u4e3a\u867d\u7136\u603b\u4f53\u901a\u80c0\u6709\u6240\u7f13\u548c\uff0c\u4f46\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u670d\u52a1\u9886\u57df\u3002\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u964d\u6e29\u662f\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4f9d\u65e7\u5904\u4e8e\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4f9d\u7136\u7a33\u5065\u3002\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u654f\u611f\u5ea6\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5b9a\u4ef7\u80fd\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a<\/strong>\uff1aGPT4o\u8ba4\u4e3aFOMC\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002FOMC\u660e\u786e\u8868\u793a\u53ea\u6709\u5f53\u901a\u80c0\u671d\u77402%\u76ee\u6807\u7a33\u6b65\u63a8\u8fdb\u65f6\uff0c\u624d\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u8c03\u6574\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4fdd\u5b88\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u610f\u5473\u7740\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u7d27\u7f29\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\u901a\u80c0\u5f97\u5230\u6709\u6548\u63a7\u5236\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u672a\u6765\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong>\uff1aGPT4o\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u52302026\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u5c06\u9010\u6b65\u56de\u843d\u52302%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4f46\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\u5982\u679c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u653e\u7f13\u8fc7\u5feb\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5c31\u4e1a\u4ea7\u751f\u4e0d\u5229\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u63a7\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5fc5\u987b\u8b66\u60d5\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3.2 Gemini Advanced\u6a21\u578b\u5206\u6790<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u5f53\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5<\/strong>\uff1aGemini Advanced\u7684\u5206\u6790\u91cd\u70b9\u653e\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u4e0a\u3002\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u867d\u7136\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u7a33\u5065\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002Gemini Advanced\u7279\u522b\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u8b66\u60d5\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6307\u51fa\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u964d\u6e29\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u8c03\u6574\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a<\/strong>\uff1a\u4e0eGPT4o\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0cGemini Advanced\u5bf9\u964d\u606f\u7684\u524d\u666f\u66f4\u52a0\u4e50\u89c2\u3002\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u901a\u80c0\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u57282024\u5e749\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u8ba8\u8bba\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\u53cd\u6620\u4e86FOMC\u5bf9\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8c03\u6574\u5c06\u6839\u636e\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u672a\u6765\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong>\uff1a\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b2024\u5e74GDP\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a2.1%\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u52302025\u5e74\u548c2026\u5e74\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u57282.0%\u3002\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u57282026\u5e74\u8fbe\u52302%\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u957f\u671f\u76ee\u6807\u4e00\u81f4\u3002Gemini Advanced\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u9010\u6b65\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u52302025\u5e74\u964d\u81f34.1%\uff0c2026\u5e74\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u81f33.1%\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3.3 Claude 3.5 Sonnet\u6a21\u578b\u5206\u6790<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u5f53\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5<\/strong>\uff1aClaude 3.5 Sonnet\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u6982\u8ff0\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u867d\u7136\u901a\u80c0\u6709\u6240\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u867d\u7136\u7565\u6709\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002Claude 3.5 Sonnet\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u6301\u7eed\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u589e\u901f\u4ece2023\u5e74\u76843.1%\u653e\u7f13\u81f32024\u5e74\u76842.1%\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a<\/strong>\uff1aClaude 3.5 Sonnet\u548cGemini Advanced\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5982\u679c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7ee7\u7eed\u663e\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u57282024\u5e749\u6708\u8003\u8651\u964d\u606f\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u56de\u843d\u81f32%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u672a\u6765\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong>\uff1aClaude 3.5 Sonnet\u9884\u6d4b\u52302026\u5e74\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u964d\u81f33.1%\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u540c\u3002\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9700\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u5bc6\u5207\u76d1\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u901a\u80c0\u56de\u5347\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. \u4e09\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8bba\u6587\u901a\u8fc7\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e09\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u770b\u6cd5\u4e0a\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u653f\u7b56\u8c03\u6574\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u548c\u529b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6709\u6240\u5206\u6b67\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>GPT4o<\/strong>\u8f83\u4e3a\u4fdd\u5b88\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u4e0d\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u5c1a\u672a\u660e\u663e\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Gemini Advanced<\/strong>\u548c<strong>Claude 3.5 Sonnet<\/strong>\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u7684\u964d\u606f\u524d\u666f\u6301\u66f4\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u901a\u80c0\u7ee7\u7eed\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u8ba1\u6700\u65e9\u53ef\u80fd\u57282024\u5e749\u6708\u5c31\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e09\u8005\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u6d4b\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u5dee\u5f02\u3002GPT4o\u66f4\u5173\u6ce8\u5c31\u4e1a\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u800cGemini Advanced \u548c Claude 3.5 Sonnet \u5219\u66f4\u52a0\u4fa7\u91cd\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0cGPT4o\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u66f4\u52a0\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u4e24\u8005\u5219\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u6301\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. \u7ed3\u8bba<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8bba\u6587\u603b\u7ed3\u4e86LLMs\u5728\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5e94\u7528\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u6bd4\u8f83\u4e0d\u540c\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u7684\u89e3\u8bfb\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u7406\u89e3\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u4e3a\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u7b56\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u5e94\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8bba\u6587\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4f7f\u7528LLMs\u8fdb\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u636e\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u751f\u6210\u591a\u6837\u5316\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u591a\u6837\u5316\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u4e3a\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66f4\u5168\u9762\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u590d\u6742\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>P.S., <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.eastmoney.com\/a\/202409193185025542.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a18\u65e5\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u5c06\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4\u4e0b\u8c0350\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9<\/a>\uff0c\u964d\u81f34.75%\u81f35.00%\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u81ea2020\u5e743\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4e5f\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u7531\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7d27\u7f29\u5468\u671f\u5411\u5bbd\u677e\u5468\u671f\u7684\u8f6c\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u770b\u7740\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u8fd9\u4ef6\u4e8b\u4e0a\uff0c<strong>Gemini Advanced<\/strong>\u548c<strong>Claude 3.5 Sonnet<\/strong>\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u66f4\u51c6\u4e00\u4e9b\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u8bba\u6587Large Language Models as Macroeconomists\u8be6\u7ec6\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[39,86,74,46],"class_list":["post-4707","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-2","tag-ai","tag-llm","tag-economics","tag-46"],"rttpg_featured_image_url":null,"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"NullThought","author_link":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/?author=1"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/?cat=2\" rel=\"category\">\u6742\u8c08<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"\u8bba\u6587Large Language Models as Macroeconomists\u8be6\u7ec6\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4707","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4707"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4707\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4708,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4707\/revisions\/4708"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4707"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4707"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nullthought.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4707"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}